Please follow me here.
Trump Does No Worse Than Romney, McCain With Hispanics And Well With Hispanics Who “Speak English At Home” (Why Are The Others Voting?)
Here’s Byron York in the Washington Examiner:
No worse than Romney or McCain means that Trump’s willingness to speak out against Mexican illegals, criminals, and rapists, and his proposals to enforce the law the US already has, and deport illegals has cost him nothing in Hispanic votes. The Hispanics who were going to vote Democrat–most of them–will do so anyway.
Who Trump shocks with this approach is neocons and cuckservatives. See my Trump Posts Immigration Plan, Neocons Go A Little Crazy, from August 2015, and this from RedState:Trump’s Shocking Hispanic Support, [by Dan Spencer, July 11, 2016.
RedState is a major cuckservative operation (Spencer remains shocked by the reference to rapists, and calling Judge Curiel Mexican) and now 24 percent of registered Hispanic voters have disappointed Spencer by not recoiling in horror like he does. NeoConservative stalwart Gabriel Schoenfeld simply refuses to believe that Trump wants or will get any Hispanic votes.
Here’s some more analysis from Byron York, links in original, emphasis added:
Hispanic voters who speak English, however, are much more loyal. Which raises the question: why are so many people who don’t speak English voting in an American election?
There seem to be a lot of them. Pollsters say that they have trouble polling the Latino voters, because the pollsters don’t speak Spanish and the voters don’t speak English. [Why U.S. Latinos Are Difficult to Poll, Maura Ewing, The Atlantic, February 8, 2016]
There’s supposed to be a language requirement for citizenship, but it hasn’t been enforced for some time, and this is result.
No worse than Romney or McCain means that Trump’s willingness to speak out against Mexican illegals, criminals, and rapists, and his proposals to enforce the law the US already has, and deport illegals has cost him nothing in Hispanic votes. The Hispanics who were going to vote Democrat–most of them–will do so anyway.
Who Trump shocks with this approach is neocons and cuckservatives. See my Trump Posts Immigration Plan, Neocons Go A Little Crazy, from August 2015, and this from RedState:Trump’s Shocking Hispanic Support, [by Dan Spencer, July 11, 2016.
RedState is a major cuckservative operation (Spencer remains shocked by the reference to rapists, and calling Judge Curiel Mexican) and now 24 percent of registered Hispanic voters have disappointed Spencer by not recoiling in horror like he does. NeoConservative stalwart Gabriel Schoenfeld simply refuses to believe that Trump wants or will get any Hispanic votes.
Here’s some more analysis from Byron York, links in original, emphasis added:
How many bad moments has Donald Trump had with Hispanic voters? From Mexican rapists to build-a-wall to Judge Gonzalo Curiel, many Republican insiders view Trump as a one-man wrecking crew, a disaster of unprecedented proportions, when it it comes to the GOP’s outreach to Latinos.The fact that Clinton has a 48-point lead, 70 percent to 22 percent, on “which candidate will better deal with immigration” means that Hispanic voters, as a group, are disloyal, favoring the illegal invaders over the defense of the United States.
Perhaps. But right now, after all the problems Trump has had with Hispanic voters, a new poll shows him performing at roughly the recent Republican norm — and no worse than the last two GOP presidential nominees.
A new poll from Pew Research Center found Hillary Clinton with a whopping 42-point lead over Trump among Hispanic registered voters, 66 percent to 24 percent. It’s a grim number for Republicans — but actually a little less than the 48-point lead Barack Obama had over Mitt Romney in Pew polling from October 2012, and also less than the 43-point lead Obama had over comprehensive immigration reform champion John McCain in July 2008.
Romney went on to lose to Obama by 44 points (71 percent to 27 percent) among Hispanic voters in 2012, and McCain lost by 36 points (67 percent to 31 percent) among Hispanics in 2008.
In the new survey, Clinton leads Trump among Hispanic registered voters on all issues. Just as with the overall electorate, Trump performs best on the questions of which candidate will do a better job dealing with the economy and which will do a better job keeping the country safe from terrorist attack. On those issues, Clinton has a 18- and 17-point lead, respectively. Given the realities of this race, that’s close.
On which candidate will better deal with immigration, Clinton has a 48-point lead, 70 percent to 22 percent.
One fascinating note in the Pew survey. Pollsters found that about 57 percent of Latino registered voters are either bilingual or more proficient in Spanish than in English. Forty-three percent are more proficient in English than in Spanish. Among the bilingual and Spanish-dominant group, Clinton has a huge lead, 80 percent to 11 percent. Among the English-dominant group, it’s a genuinely close race — 48 percent for Clinton to 41 percent for Trump. After all that has happened, Trump polls as well or better with English-dominant Hispanic voters than with the electorate as a whole.
Hispanic voters who speak English, however, are much more loyal. Which raises the question: why are so many people who don’t speak English voting in an American election?
There seem to be a lot of them. Pollsters say that they have trouble polling the Latino voters, because the pollsters don’t speak Spanish and the voters don’t speak English. [Why U.S. Latinos Are Difficult to Poll, Maura Ewing, The Atlantic, February 8, 2016]
There’s supposed to be a language requirement for citizenship, but it hasn’t been enforced for some time, and this is result.
Posts
No comments:
Post a Comment