Showing posts with label stock market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label stock market. Show all posts

Friday, January 8, 2016

The Missing Unemployment Statistics

An interesting article from http://www.ucg.org/ about unemployment. This follows this post about Japan and North Korea. For a free magazine subscription or to get the books recommended for free click HERE! or call 1-888-886- 8632.

According to the Lansing State Journal (8/23), Michigan's hard hit economy is looking better. Unemployment has dropped from 15.2% to below 15%, the paper has twice reported.
I might feel a lot better if I could take this at face value. Unfortunately, the hard figures reveal a different story!

Unemployment is under reported

My son works for the state's department of unemployment, sometimes cynically described as “the fastest growing sector of the Michigan economy.”
The reason unemployment figures are looking better, he explained, is because increasing numbers of people are coming off unemployment benefits.
Here is how it works.
Unemployed workers receive benefits for only a limited number of weeks. With extensions, people may now receive benefits for over a year but eventually they run out. That is now happening to more and more people.
My son also explained to me that 99,000 people in Michigan will have received all of their available state unemployment benefits by the end of this year. That means they could become destitute, with no income, no health insurance and unable to pay their mortgages—which indicates more foreclosures are to come!

Other unreported factors

That's not the only reason the unemployment numbers look better. People who move out of state are no longer counted as “unemployed.” Nor are people who retire. Nor are the tens of thousands who have returned to their native countries. Nor are those who are in part time work, some earning as little as $50 per week. Nor are those who have had their hours and pay cut.
CNN Newsroom” (Sunday August 23rd) predicted that 650,000 people across the United States will lose their unemployment benefits by the end of this year. This includes the 99,000 in Michigan. The prediction is that 4.4 million Americans will lose theirs before the economy recovers. That's 4.4 million people with no means of feeding themselves, short of lining up at the local soup kitchen.
It's not a pretty picture, no matter how you look at it. Things are clearly not getting any better.
One economist, not alone in his concern, wrote an op-ed in the Financial Times August 25th on the increasing likelihood of a double dip recession similar to the Great Depression. Following the Crash of 1929 the economy actually started to pick up, with the Stock Market making gains for five months in a row. Then the sixth month came and the rest is history.
Some are saying the same is likely now. The 'D' word is increasingly mentioned.
Talk of “Depression” is enough to make anyone depressed, on a personal level.
The economic upheavals that frequently plague our economies won't end until Christ returns and establishes a godly financial system. So, what should a Christian who trusts God and believes His written Word do in times like this?

The appropriate response!

The Bible clearly instructs each of us to “seek first the Kingdom of God and His righteousness (Matthew 6:33).
In addition to praying each day “Thy kingdom come” (Matthew 6:10, King James Version), Christians should also remember to ask: “Give us this day our daily bread” (verse 11). Previous generations had to do this—often in times more challenging than now.
In the western world we've taken far too much for granted and have consistently failed to thank our Creator for all the physical blessings He has given to us. Faced with losing everything, this is a good time to start thanking God every day for all that He has given us.
Maybe for a while government can help if you lose your job, but that help won't last. Besides, the government is rapidly going broke. The U.S. deficit is so great that the BBC said a new word will soon be needed to describe it (BBC World News, PBS, 25th August).
Christians should not take anxious thought for tomorrow (Matthew 6:34). Worry never helps. Do what you can to help yourself and ask God each day to help you provide for your family needs.
How long this recession (or depression) will last cannot be accurately predicted. One thing is certain. We must all accept a lower standard of living, going without some of the pleasures we once took for granted. However, we can take assurance from King David who observed: “I have been young, and now am old; Yet I have not seen the righteous forsaken, nor his descendants begging bread” (Psalms 37:25).
As we go through this difficult time, let's all remember to pray more fervently, “Thy kingdom come.” And for a really in depth understanding of what that Kingdom will be like, please request, read online or download our free booklet, The Gospel of the Kingdom  .

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Wednesday, August 26, 2015

China Boasts It Has Technology to Make Neutron Bombs

An interesting article from http://www.ucg.org/ about Chinese weapons. This follows this post about recession. For a free magazine subscription or to get the books recommended for free click HERE! or call 1-888-886- 8632.
Please follow me here for continued posts.





In Brief... World News Review

China Boasts It Has Technology to Make Neutron Bombs

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BEIJING: (Reuters)-China announced July 15 it had the technology to make neutron bombs, but gave no details. “China officially announced here today that it has already mastered the neutron bomb design technology,” the official Xinhua news agency said in a one-paragraph report.
The announcement came amid a dispute with rival Taiwan, which abandoned its “one China” policy that has helped underpin East Asian security for decades.
The three-line Xinhua report gave no clue as to when the neutron bomb was developed or whether China had conducted tests, begun mass production or deployed the weapon.

http://www.ucg.org/world-news-and-prophecy/in-brief-world-news-review-china-boasts-it-has-technology-to-make-neutron

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Your Personal Economic Stimulus Package

An interesting article from http://www.ucg.org/ about recession. This follows this post about crime. This follows this post about body parts. For a free magazine subscription or to get the books recommended for free click HERE! or call 1-888-886- 8632.
Please follow me here for continued posts.

Your Personal Economic Stimulus Package

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Free money—AWESOME!
But can we actually get something for nothing? There's always a catch or a consequence lurking around the corner ready to dash the thrill.
Such is currently the case with America's economic stimulus package. It entails giving $168 billion worth of tax rebate checks, from $300 to $1,200, to citizens in hopes that the money will be spent on products to encourage growth in the economy to avoid a recession. Those checks are now in the mail.
However, “Economists are debating how effective the rebates will be, with critics arguing that debt-burdened consumers will use the money to pay bills rather than spending the checks and spurring growth” (foxnews.com ). Hmm, that sounds like responsible spending to me.
Whether these checks will be helpful for the economy or not, time will tell. But there is one major catch to this “free” money. The government doesn't have the extra cash to give away.
To fund the stimulus package the United States will borrow the money from various foreign lenders like China. Thus it will go further in debt to create a short-term solution and once again push aside that whole deficit thing. The U.S. budget deficit for 2008 is projected to nearly double that of last year (newsmax.com ).
The real kicker with the stimulus package is that even if Americans spend their checks, a huge percentage of consumer products available to buy are actually made in China. That sounds awfully stimulating, but for the Chinese more than the American economy!
The irony is that overspending and out-of-control debt at serious levels helped get the American economy into this problem in the first place.
So what can we do?
We can critically analyze the political and economic problems that exist wherever we live and make sure that we don't let societal trends and national mistakes happen in our personal lives.
To be successful personally and nationally, we need divine guidance .
God gave us a guidebook for success and happiness—the Bible . As our Creator, He knows what we need. He shows how we should live in order to be prosperous and happy. Even if governments and society around us continue to reject God, we can still ask for His help to learn His ways and enjoy the benefits!
God and your success
God wants you and me to succeed, to value what He values. His formula: “Do not turn from it [His law] to the right hand or to the left, that you may prosper wherever you go… Be strong and of good courage; do not be afraid, nor be dismayed, for the Lord your God is with you wherever you go” (Joshua 1:7-9 Joshua 1:7-9 7 Only be you strong and very courageous, that you may observe to do according to all the law, which Moses my servant commanded you: turn not from it to the right hand or to the left, that you may prosper wherever you go. 8 This book of the law shall not depart out of your mouth; but you shall meditate therein day and night, that you may observe to do according to all that is written therein: for then you shall make your way prosperous, and then you shall have good success. 9 Have not I commanded you? Be strong and of a good courage; be not afraid, neither be you dismayed: for the LORD your God is with you wherever you go.
American King James Version×
).
Be brave and think vertically. Learn to apply biblical principles in your life. When it comes to stimulating your own personal economy, avoid debt and make wise choices. Also, read this fascinating free booklet Managing Your Finances .
Whether or not the United States will avoid a recession (or worse) in the short term remains to be seen, but all of us in the younger generations will bear the long-term consequences of national debt and current overspending.
Wouldn't it be better to be indebted only to God and know that true success comes from His loving and perfect guidance? VT
http://www.ucg.org/vertical-thought/your-personal-economic-stimulus-package

Thursday, September 15, 2011

Laying Up Treasure

An interesting article from www.ucg.org about storing up gold and other treasures. This follows this post about an interesting Seminar.  For a free magazine subscription or to get this book for free click HERE! or call 1-888-886-8632.

Laying Up Treasure






article by Frank Dunkle





With no signs of the economy improving anytime soon, gold prices are soaring—and many are looking to precious metals to save them from ruin. How do we prepare for financial disaster?



You’ve no doubt heard the commercials. Gold may reach a price of $2,000 an ounce. Companies that deal in precious metals are urging anyone who will listen to buy now. Dollars are in danger of rapidly losing their value—and so are pounds, euros, yen and just about any other money you might think of.



Conservative politicians have a similar message: profligate government policies are damaging economies and seriously devaluing currencies. Their solution, ahead of your making financial investments, is that you give them your vote.



What should we do? Does the Bible give us any insight into how to prepare for financial disaster?



Out-of-control debt and currency manipulation

Before answering, let’s consider whether or not the situation is as dire as some say. As of August 3, 2011, the public debt of the United States stood at $14.34 trillion, far more than ever before (with $9.78 trillion held by the public and $4.56 trillion in accounts held by the government itself). Public debt in America is hardly new. The U.S. government was in debt from the start, having borrowed millions to finance its War of Independence. Since then, the federal budget often ran deficits, with occasional surpluses. During the presidency of Andrew Jackson the debt was completely eliminated for a time, but wars and disasters have always increased the size of the public debt.



During the Civil War the public debt passed $1 billion and topped $3 billion by the war’s end. World War I pushed that number past $25 billion, though it shrank significantly in the following decade. The Great Depression and World War II grew the debt from $16 billion in 1930 to $260 billion in 1950. Matching the rate of inflation, the public debt grew to more than $900 billion in 1980, and government spending dramatically increased thereafter. It passed $3.5 trillion in 1992, rose to nearly $6 trillion by 2000, jumped to nearly $11 trillion in 2008, and continued its dramatic climb to a current level above $14 trillion.



What do these numbers mean? Billions and trillions are numbers beyond the comprehension of most of us. One way to think of it is that the size of the U.S. debt is nearly that of the country’s Gross Domestic Product (the total value of goods and services produced in the nation in a year)—that is, 96 percent of a GDP of $15.003 trillion at the end of June 2011 (debt held by the public standing at 65 percent of GDP). And this doesn’t take into account government obligations to social programs such as Social Security and Medicare. Adding those commitments would bring U.S. public obligations to approximately $62 trillion.



This is hardly a problem for America alone. Within the eurozone, Greece, Ireland and Portugal have needed bailouts from partner countries to prevent national insolvency. Spain and Italy face similar problems, and efforts to relieve the crisis have had limited effect. But what does this have to do with buying gold?



To put it briefly, several governments owe more money than they can reasonably expect to repay. This has become painfully obvious in Greece, and some say the United States is quickly putting itself in the same situation. Tax increases are unpopular with voters, especially since they simply give government more money to spend. Spending cuts are unpopular with the masses of people who benefit from government programs—consider the protests and riots in Europe over proposed austerity measures.



Another way a national government can relieve its debt burden is to artificially increase the money supply. This inflates the currency, making each unit worth less in purchasing power. Yet while the value of the money falls, preexisting debts remain payable in the same number of currency units, as established by contract. Thus, the U.S. government can repay loans with dollars worth considerably less than when borrowed. This is why people holding home mortgages, student loans and other long term debt don’t mind a little inflation. However, homeowners and students do not have any control over inflation, as a national government does.



When a government deliberately inflates its currency, through programs like “quantitative easing,” it is really enacting a tax of sorts on everyone who holds money in that currency. That is why some investors have purchased large amounts of gold or other durable assets. It makes sense to store wealth in a form that cannot be arbitrarily manipulated. But is gold really as safe as some people say?



That depends on what level of safety we’re talking about—and the viability of the global economic system itself.



No financial protection against societal collapse

There is an old joke that says: If you owe your bank $500 and you can’t pay, you’re in trouble—but if you owe your bank $500 million and you can’t pay, your bank is in trouble! This may be funny as a joke, but how does it work when the one who can’t pay is a national government and when the creditor is not just a bank but a mixture of investors: companies, individuals and other countries? If you as an individual default on a major loan, you may be taken to court, have assets seized and conceivably be jailed. But what’s the outcome for sovereign nations?



When a nation defaults on its obligations, the result is often revolution or war. The entire social structure may disintegrate. Institutions crumble. In the 1920s the economy of the Weimar Republic of Germany failed, hyperinflation set in, and soon the Nazi regime took power. Given the current state of things, the protests and demonstrations occurring in Greece and Spain may end up being among the least harmful results of the sovereign debt crises. Could revolution or war overturn government and society in Europe and the United States? Could such a catastrophe lead to nuclear conflict and mass destruction? If so, will it be better to have gold and silver than dollars or euros?



Longtime readers of this publication know that Bible prophecy foretells cataclysm at the end of this age before God Himself intervenes to establish a new, better government. While many details of coming societal collapse are not explained, Scripture does provide some surprisingly specific ones. One of these can be found in Ezekiel:7:19They shall cast their silver in the streets, and their gold shall be removed: their silver and their gold shall not be able to deliver them in the day of the wrath of the LORD: they shall not satisfy their souls, neither fill their bowels: because it is the stumblingblock of their iniquity., which says, “They will throw their silver into the streets, and their gold will be like refuse; their silver and their gold will not be able to deliver them in the day of the wrath of the Lord.” Evidently there will be nothing to buy—or at least no functioning marketplace for the multitudes in this predicament.



This reminds me of a historical account of the conquest of the Incas by Francisco Pizzaro in the 1500s. When the Spaniards continued asking the natives about their gold and silver, the Incas asked why they wanted it so badly. “Do you eat it?” they asked. “Does it make you immortal?” One might ask similar questions of modern investors. If the economy and/or society collapses, can a person eat gold any more than he can eat bills of exchange?



Of course, the answer is no. But gold could be traded for food or other necessities when paper money loses value while society still functions. I do not seek to discourage anyone from investing in gold or similar assets, merely to put investing and money management into perspective.



The ultimate investment advice

There is much wisdom in finding investments that will serve as a hedge against inflation—along with other prudent planning for economic crises. “A prudent person foresees danger and takes precautions. The simpleton goes blindly on and suffers the consequences” (Proverbs:22:3A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.; 27:12, New Living Translation). Being prepared will also put you in a position to help others.



But there are times when even the most valuable and durable of commodities become worthless. Those times include the end of the world—whenever that may be—but also the end of your life. Although you hope the latter is still a long way off, it’s impossible to know for sure. The Bible provides the ultimate investment advice that is good for either event.



It is simply this. Jesus Christ said, “Do not lay up for yourselves treasures on earth [including gold] where moth and rust destroy and where thieves break in and steal; but lay up for yourselves treasure in heaven, where neither moth nor rust destroy, and where thieves do not break in and steal” (Matthew:6:19-20[19]Lay not up for yourselves treasures upon earth, where moth and rust doth corrupt, and where thieves break through and steal:[20]But lay up for yourselves treasures in heaven, where neither moth nor rust doth corrupt, and where thieves do not break through nor steal:). Of course, there is no stock market or exchange where you can buy treasure in heaven. Obviously, Jesus meant that we should build the treasure of righteous character and of a relationship with God. Such things cannot be purchased; they must be developed through a way of living.



The Bible teaches that way of living, and you can read and understand it. Download or request our free booklets How to Understand the Bible and Making Life Work for some guidance on how to lay up that treasure in heaven. And for some basic financial guidance, be sure to read our booklet Managing Your Finances.



In the meantime, what about your investments? Is the end of the world near? Some say it is—but it has seemed that way before, and things improved. It is certainly not a sin to buy gold or invest for the future. What you need to ask yourself is: What are you preparing for? Is it a downturn in the economy or the complete breakdown of society? Gold might be useful for the former but utterly useless for the latter. Treasure in heaven will always be a good investment.

.

Friday, May 7, 2010

Mara Liasson: The Crisis In Greece Could Eventually Happen In America

A very interesting post from www.newsbusters.org about the crisis in Greece.This follows this post about Syria giving weapons to Hezbollah and this article about the recent news about offshore drilling to encourage American energy independence This is a key issue to prevent money from going to hostile countries such as Iran and Venezuela. For more posts like this click here.


Mara Liasson: The Crisis In Greece Could Eventually Happen In America


NPR's Mara Liasson on Thursday made a truly astonishing and frightening comment: the crisis in Greece, with the government slashing spending and raising taxes in such a fashion that people are rioting in the streets, could happen in America.
"Greece, whose debt is now I think 115 percent of GDP, ours is about 84 now, and they had to impose some tough austerity measures which means tax hikes and spending cuts, and the people of Greece as you can see didn't like it one bit and rioted," Liasson said on Thursday's "Special Report" on Fox News.
"This in a much more horrific way, much bigger way, is our problem," she continued.
"We have unsustainable deficits that are going to have to be cured with something similar"

Read more: http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2010/05/06/mara-liasson-crisis-greece-could-eventually-happen-america#ixzz0nGd1o1nA

Thursday, April 29, 2010

The Growing Economic Crisis: A Biblical Perspective

An interesting article from www.gnmagazine.org about the bible and this economic crisis. This follows this post about the effects of Greece on the Euro and now possibly the stock market. For more interesting stories like this click here to follow this blog.

The Growing Economic Crisis: A Biblical Perspective
The recent turmoil in U.S. financial markets has drawn the attention of the entire world. What's behind the crisis? Where could it lead? A look from a biblical perspective helps us understand.
by Mario Seiglie
A look at the financial news reveals a world full of economic difficulties. Most of us are—or will be—affected in some way.
A growing crisis in U.S. financial markets led the presidential administration to propose and Congress to pass a $700 billion intervention to prevent an economic meltdown. On Sept. 19, 2008, President George W. Bush warned: "This is a pivotal moment for America's economy . . . Given the precarious state of today's financial markets . . . government intervention is not only warranted, it is essential."
When such difficulties arise, it's good to review biblical principles. Let's examine aspects of Scripture, history and prophecy that can help us gain some proper perspective.
Greed: the root of the crisis
The magazine BusinessWeek stated: "What brought down the markets? Bad choices, greed—and never learning from past mistakes" (Paul Barrett, "Wall Street Staggers," Sept. 17, 2008, online edition).
The Bible describes greed as a sin and talks about what happens when it takes over. It's well summarized in the famous quote from the movie Wall Street where the lead character Gordon Gekko says: "Greed is right. Greed works. Greed clarifies, cuts through, and captures the essence of the evolutionary spirit. Greed is good."
This fictional person was based in part on the financier Ivan Boesky, who once said in a university commencement address: "I think greed is healthy. You can be greedy and still feel good about yourself." A few months later he ended up in jail for insider trading, paying a $100 million fine and banned from the stock market.
Jesus warned about greed—the lust for money or other things—in Luke 12:15: "Watch out and guard yourselves from every kind of greed; because a person's true life is not made up of the things he owns, no matter how rich he may be" (Today's English Version).
The Bible also says: "People who want to be rich fall into all sorts of temptations and traps. They are caught by foolish and harmful desires that drag them down and destroy them. The love of money causes all kinds of trouble. Some people want money so much that they have given up their faith and caused themselves a lot of pain" (1 Timothy 6:6-10, Contemporary English Version). Sadly, in today's interconnected world, the greed of many can lead to financial pain for everyone.
Let's divide this complex topic into three parts to try to clarify some of the confusion.
Why do things like this happen?
Simply put, from time to time the financial world falls victim to unbridled greed—the unchecked lust to make money in spite of great risks. True perspective is lost, as when a gambler on a roll thinks his luck will last forever. Eventually his luck runs out.
Psychologist Erich Fromm warned, "Greed is a bottomless pit which exhausts the person in an endless effort to satisfy the need without ever reaching satisfaction."
The Roman poet Aurelius Clemens Prudentius said around 1,600 years ago, "Hunger for gold is made greater as more gold is acquired." His words are just as true today.
A Sept. 18, 2008, article in The Washington Post, "Scrambling to Clean up a Category 4 Financial Storm," provided an overview of the nation's complex financial crisis:
"What is really going on, at the most fundamental level, is that the United States is in the process of being forced by its foreign creditors to begin living within its means . . . For most of the past decade, foreigners seemed only too willing to provide U.S. households, corporations and governments all the cheap money they wanted—and Americans were only too happy to take them up on their offer.
"The cheap money was used by households to buy houses, cars and college educations, along with more health care, extra vacations and all manner of consumer goods. Governments used the cheap money to pay for services and benefits that citizens were not willing to pay for with higher taxes. And corporations and investment vehicles—hedge funds, private-equity funds and real estate investment trusts—used the cheap financing to buy real estate and other companies.
"Two important things happened as a result of the availability of all this cheap credit. The first was that the price of residential and commercial real estate, corporate takeover targets and the stock of technology companies began to rise. The faster they rose, the more that investors were interested in buying, driving the prices even higher . . . Before long, these markets could best be characterized as classic bubbles . . .
"Suddenly, in early 2007, something important happened: Foreigners began to lose their appetite for financing much of this activity . . . What should have happened at that point was that the interest rate on those loans should have increased, demand for that kind of borrowing should have decreased, the price of real estate and corporate stocks should have leveled off, takeover activity should have slowed and companies should have begun to cut back on expansion.
"Mostly, however, that didn't happen. Instead, the Wall Street banks that originally made these loans before selling them off in pieces decided to try to keep the good times rolling—and, significantly, keep the lucrative underwriting fees pouring in. Some used their own 'AAA' credit ratings to borrow more money and keep the loans on their own balance sheets or those of 'structured investment vehicles' they created to hide these new liabilities from regulators and investors.
"Others went back to the foreigners and offered to insure those now-unwanted takeover loans and asset-backed securities against credit losses . . .
"As a result, when the inevitable crash finally came, it wasn't only those unsuspecting foreigners who bought those leveraged loans and asset-backed securities who wound up taking the hit. It was also their creators—Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Citigroup, Lehman Brothers, AIG and others—who made the mistake of doubling-down on their credit risk at the very moment they should have been cutting back.
"We are now nearing the end of the rocky process of uncovering the full extent of the credit losses of the major Wall Street banks and hedge funds. But . . . the markets have only just begun to force some financial discipline on the majority of U.S. households that relied on borrowed money to maintain their lifestyles. With nobody willing to finance those lifestyles, there are really only two choices.
"One is to turn to Uncle Sam to keep the economy and the financial system afloat. In the end, however, there is only so much the government can borrow and so much the government can do.
"The only other choice is for Americans to finally put their spending in line with their incomes and their need for long-term savings. For any one household, that sounds like a good idea. But if everyone cuts back at roughly the same time, a recession is almost inevitable . . . The inevitable second round of this financial crisis . . . still lies ahead."
What can we do?
We should first carefully analyze our own economic situation and seek sound financial advice (see, for example, "Coping With a Growing Economic Crisis,' The Good News, May-June 2008 and "Are You a Slave to Debt?" The Good News, July-August 2008). While we can hope for the best, we need to be prepared for the worst.
We also need to ask: What is our true currency, ultimately? It shouldn't be money, but faith. If we are faithful to God, He will provide. In a period of widespread famine, He fed the prophet Elijah through ravens bringing him food for many days. God can intervene in many ways to provide for His obedient and faithful servants.
As Jesus said in Matthew 6:24-33: "No one can serve two masters, for either he will hate one and love the other, or else he will attach himself to one and despise the other. You cannot serve both God and Money . . . Look at the wild birds—they neither sow, nor reap, nor gather into barns; and yet your heavenly Father feeds them! And are not you more precious than they?
". . . Do not then ask anxiously 'What can we get to eat?' or 'What can we get to drink?' or 'What can we get to wear?' All these are the things for which the nations are seeking, and your heavenly Father knows that you need them all. But first seek his Kingdom and the righteousness that he requires, and then all these things shall be added for you" (Twentieth Century New Testament).
We do not want to sound like all is doom and gloom, that the economy can't recover from its current battering. Too many people cry wolf at the first signs of crisis. It's good to remember that there has been at least one recession for each decade in recent years—roughly around 1973, 1982, 1992 and 2001. In any case, this should be a wake-up call for each of us to examine our financial situation and our faith.
Economic turmoil and Bible prophecy
Furthermore, as regular readers of The Good News magazine understand, we should keep in mind the framework of end-time prophecy whenever we consider the world scene.
The fulfillment of Bible prophecy can be compared to riding on a roller coaster—there are many ups and downs with world events, but eventually, according to the Bible, humanity will reach the end of the ride.
However, we don't know when that will be. So Christ told us we have to watch world events (Luke 21:36), and just as fig leaves come out as summer nears, so when biblical end-time events start to happen, we should be ready (Matthew 24:32-34).
Could the current financial crisis eventually lead to end-time events foretold in Scripture? No one knows, and it would be premature at this point to suggest this. Nevertheless we should carefully watch and analyze the long-term effect of this crisis, which is spreading to other countries. The Bible does indicate that the world will one day fall into great economic turmoil that will trigger a new world order centered in Europe and not the United States .
An end-time prophecy in Revelation 17:12 speaks of "ten kings who have received no kingdom as yet, but they receive authority for one hour [a brief period] as kings with the beast." Indications are that conditions will be so desperate and dramatic that these 10 rulers will give their authority to a powerful figure who, as head of a new global superpower, will bring order out of chaos.
The political and economic system of these rulers and a dominant leader described as "the beast" is called in biblical language "Babylon" (Revelation 18:2).
Why does it rise to power? In the midst of great turmoil, people will be desperate and in need of a savior figure. This leader will then take charge. He will share power with a deceiving religious leader called in Revelation "the false prophet" (Revelation 19:20). The merchants of the earth will be pleased because the system will bring security and prosperity (Revelation 18:3).
Remember Adolf Hitler's rise to power in the early 1930s? It was enabled by the economic depression in Germany at that time. Without it, there would have been no discontent to exploit, and Hitler probably would have gotten nowhere.
And what did he do when he took over? He introduced his program—a fascist system known as national socialism (the party name National Socialist being abbreviated as Nazi). Soon Hitler began to control the nation's economy and to rapidly build up its huge military, which gave people work. He also did much for the ordinary German citizen.
Of course, the future system need not follow exactly the same track, but there may be similarities.
Hope during troubling times
While the Bible prophets revealed what is coming, they did not know exactly when their prophecies would transpire. So it is today. We know what will happen in the future, but not exactly when significant end-time events will begin.
Also, in spite of the future difficulties foretold, the Bible gives us a message of hope. It tells us God's people will be protected through the coming turmoil. We read in Revelation 3:10: "Because you have kept My command to persevere, I also will keep you from the hour of trial which shall come upon the whole world, to test those who dwell on the earth. Behold, I am coming quickly! Hold fast what you have, that no one may take your crown."
Yes, our protection and our ultimate currency is our faith—our trust, obedience and love of the truth. Those who have made wealth into an idol will be devastated. But God will provide for the faithful, and He has promised not to abandon us.
Jesus Christ asked in Luke 18:8, "When the Son of Man comes, will He really find faith on the earth?" Will we remain faithful? Will we seek God in times like this? Let's develop a strong faith! For as has been said of earlier difficult days, "These are the times that try men's souls"—testing their spiritual character and faith in God. GN
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Wednesday, April 28, 2010

Could a Greek Tragedy Bring Down the Euro?

An interesting article from www.wnponline.org about the effects of Greece on the Euro and now possibly the stock market. This follows this post about America possibly declingin. For more interesting stories like this click here to follow this blog.

Could a Greek Tragedy Bring Down the Euro?
In the last few weeks the euro has declined in value as fears over Greece's debt problems fueled international speculation. Could Greece's problems lead to the demise of the common European currency?
by Melvin Rhodes
Forty years ago, international currency speculation was largely confined to third world countries that kept the official value of their own currencies high, leading to a black market trade in money in poorer parts of the world.
Today, the buying and selling of paper money is the biggest legal business conducted in major financial capitals around the world. The change was due to the adoption of a floating currency system in the wake of the collapse of the sterling area (countries who used the British pound as their currency or pegged their own to the pound) and growing public debt in the United States.
What this means is that currency speculation has become big business, resulting in rising volatility in the markets. In the first half of February, this seriously affected the eurozone, the 16 nations that use the 10-year-old common currency, the euro. Speculation triggered by a fiscal crisis in Greece forced the value of the currency down.
"Yet the idiosyncrasies of the eurozone should not distract us from the general nature of the fiscal crisis that is now afflicting most western economies. Call it the fractal geometry of debt: the problem is essentially the same from Iceland to Ireland to Britain to the US. It just comes in widely differing sizes" (Niall Ferguson, "A Greek Crisis Is Coming to America," Financial Times, Feb. 10, 2010).
While Harvard historian Niall Ferguson correctly highlights the fact that Greece's problems will spread throughout the Western world, eventually even including the United States, others are pointing to the fact that Germany is key to resolving the Greek tragedy.
Students of Bible prophecy have long known that "ten kings" (political leaders) will form a resurrected Roman Empire prior to the second coming of Jesus Christ. "The ten horns which you saw are ten kings who have received no kingdom as yet, but they receive authority for one hour as kings with the beast. These are of one mind and they will give their power and authority to the beast" (Revelation 17:12-13).
While the European Union has been of great significance in uniting European countries, the 27-member EU cannot be the same as the final "ten" that revive the power of ancient Rome. The Greek financial crisis could be of great significance in moving Europe forward to its final destination, at exactly the same time that the English-speaking nations see their power reduced by their own fiscal crisis.
Greek crisis result of success
"Simply put, Europe faces a financial meltdown," wrote Marko Papic and Peter Zeihan ("Germany's Choice," Stratfor, Feb. 8, 2010).
"The crisis is rooted in Europe's greatest success: the Maastricht Treaty and the monetary union the treaty spawned epitomized by the euro. Everyone participating in the euro won by merging their currencies. Germany received full, direct and currency-risk-free access to the markets of all its euro partners... [Germany's] efficiency has permitted its exports to increase steadily both as a share of total European consumption and as a share of European exports to the wider world. Conversely, the eurozone's smaller and/or poorer members gained access to Germany's low interest rates and high credit rating. And the last bit is what spawned the current problem."
Some of the poorer European countries have long had problems balancing their budgets. Under rules laid down by the European Central Bank (ECB), they were not permitted to overspend by more than 3 percent a year. In fact, they could not even join the euro until they complied with that requirement.
It turns out Greece faked its finances, gaining entry into the eurozone through deceit. Other countries like Ireland, Spain, Portugal and Italy did well for a long time, but their finances have been badly affected by the worldwide recession. The five countries (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain) are even referred to as the PIIGS, which only adds to the negativity currently surrounding these nations.
Twenty years ago, all of these countries could have worked their way through their own fiscal dilemmas by letting their currencies slide in value, but they no longer have that option now that they are part of a currency union controlled by the German-dominated ECB.
The capital of the EU is Brussels, but Germany is the richest member of both the eurozone and the European Union. The country is the key to solving the current problem, either by refusing to help and perhaps forcing the five out of the euro zone or by bailing them out, which would give Berlin even greater clout over the whole of Europe.
The Stratfor report continues: "There is no doubt Germany could afford such a bailout, as the Greek economy is only one-tenth of the size of Germany's. But the days of no-strings-attached financial assistance from Germany are over. If Germany is going to do this, there will no longer be anything 'implied' or 'assumed' about German control of the European Central Bank and the eurozone. The control will become reality, and that control will have consequences.
"For all intents and purposes, Germany will run the fiscal policies of peripheral member states that have proved they are not up to the task of doing so on their own. To accept anything less intrusive would end with Germany becoming responsible for bailing out everyone. After all, who wouldn't want a condition-free bailout paid for by Germany?
"And since a euro-wide bailout is beyond Germany's means, this scenario would end with Germany leading the EU hat-in-hand to the International Monetary Fund for an American/Chinese-funded assistance package. It is possible that the Germans could be gentle and risk such abject humiliation, but it is not likely.
"Taking a firmer tack would allow Germany to achieve [its goal] via the pocketbook...But this policy has its own costs. The eurozone as a whole needs to borrow around 2.2 trillion euros in 2010, with Greece needing 53 billion euros simply to make it through the year. Not far behind Greece is Italy, which needs 393 billion euros, Belgium with needs of 89 billion euros and France with needs of yet another 454 billion euros.
"As such, the premium on Germany is to act—if it is going to act—fast. It needs to get Greece and most likely Portugal wrapped up before crisis of confidence spreads to the really serious countries, where even mighty German's resources would be overwhelmed.
"That is the cost of making Europe 'work.' It is also the cost to Germany of leadership that doesn't come at the end of a gun. So if Germany wants its leadership to mean something outside of Western Europe, it will be forced to pay for that leadership—deeply, repeatedly and very, very soon. But unlike in years past, this time Berlin will want to hold the reins."
Will Berlin once again dominate Europe?
It's ironic that, after two attempts in the last century to dominate Europe by force, Germany is increasingly dominating the continent economically. The current crisis gives Berlin an opportunity to emerge as the clear leader of the new united Europe and shows a clear continuity from the first half of the 20th century.
Another Stratfor analysis pointed out that in Germany "factions within the CDU [Christian Democratic Union, the dominant party of the ruling coalition] are becoming cognizant of the opportunity the Greek imbroglio presents. Even though most German politicians would refuse to acknowledge it, Mitteleuropa (albeit in a demilitarized sense) must be on everyone's mind these days in Berlin.
"Mitteleuropa was an early 20th century idea that looked to carve out a political and economic sphere of influence for Germany within Central Europe, one that...would be able to counter the then Russian Empire to the east and the British Empire to the west. It was later perverted by Nazi Germany in World War II to include depopulating Jewish and most Slav and Roma presence in the proposed geographical area. However, in its pre-World War I original edition, it 'merely' sought a 'sphere of influence,' not unlike what the Monroe Doctrine sets up for the United States in Latin America.
"Fast-forward to 2010 and you have most of the EU expectantly gazing at Berlin, hoping that it saves Europe from its current crisis" ("Germany and Iran: Reconciling History," Stratfor, Feb. 11, 2010).
Chillingly and perhaps prophetically in light of Revelation 17:13, Stratfor concludes with these words: "The most potent analogy here may be that of the Roman Republic. The Roman Senate had provisions by which, in times of emergency (such as when Hannibal threatened at the gates), it could bestow dictatorial powers on an individual. The EU may be nearing such a choice, albeit with the EU in the position of the Roman Senate and Germany playing the role of Caesar. The offer may be too tempting for Germany to ignore. The question is: Will Germany's past continue to torture Berlin and prevent it from assuming its natural sphere of influence?"
Germany seems set, and soon, to take a greater leadership role in the European Union, an EU that could push some of its poorer members on the periphery into a secondary role, while a solid core of countries around Germany (10?) move forward to form "an ever closer union," one of the stated aims of the Treaty of Rome.
Meanwhile, the United States cannot gloat
In the realm of geopolitics, Bible prophecy focuses on the Middle East, the rise of a German-led Europe and the decline of the modern Israelites (especially the English-speaking powers of the United States and Great Britain). While the Greek fiscal crisis looks likely to boost German power, the wider financial crisis seems set to continue to bring down the power of the two English-speaking nations.
"For the world's biggest economy, the US, the day of reckoning still seems reassuringly remote. The worse things get in the eurozone, the more the US dollar rallies as nervous investors park their cash in the 'safe haven' of American government debt. This effect may persist for some months, just as the dollar and Treasuries rallied in the depths of the banking panic in late 2008.
"Yet even a casual look at the fiscal position of the federal government (not to mention the states) makes a nonsense of the phrase 'safe haven.' US government debt is a safe haven the way Pearl Harbor was a safe haven in 1941.
"The International Monetary Fund recently published estimates of the fiscal adjustments developed economies would need to make to restore fiscal stability over the decade ahead. Worst were Japan and the UK (a fiscal tightening of 13 per cent of GDP). Then came Ireland, Spain and Greece (9 per cent). And in sixth place? Step forward America, which would need to tighten fiscal policy by 8.8 per cent of GDP to satisfy the IMF.
"Last week Moody's Investors Service warned that the triple A credit rating of the US should not be taken for granted. That warning recalls Larry Summers' killer question (posed before he returned to government): 'How long can the world's biggest borrower remain the world's biggest power?'
"On reflection, it is appropriate that the fiscal crisis of the west has begun in Greece, the birthplace of western civilization. Soon it will cross the channel to Britain. But the key question is when that crisis will reach the last bastion of western power, on the other side of the Atlantic" ("A Greek Crisis Is Coming to America").
One week after Niall Ferguson's article, a report on the Financial Times' front page showed that the Greek crisis may already be reaching U.S. shores. "Foreign demand for US Treasury securities fell by a record amount in December as China purged some of its holdings of government debt. China sold $34.2 [billion] in US Treasury securities during the month, the US Treasury said on Tuesday, leaving Japan as the biggest holder of US government debt with $768.8 [billion]" (Alan Rappeport, "Foreign Demand Falls for Treasuries," Feb. 16, 2010).
Clearly, China is afraid the United States may not be able to honor its debts, just as Greece and others can't honor theirs.
The economic crisis among Western nations is pushing events toward fulfillment of key Bible prophecies leading to the end of this present age. Jesus Christ's warning to "watch" for the appearance of an end-time superpower combination of church and state should take on greater clarity in light of these events. These are not random geopolitical events. The puzzle of end-time prophecy is coming into focus one piece at a time. WNP
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